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On The Principles of Political Economy and Taxation
London: John Murray, Albemarle-Street,
by David Ricardo, 1817
(third edition 1821)
Chapter 6
On Profits
The profits of stock, in different employments, having been shewn to bear a
proportion to each other, and to have a tendency to vary all in the same degree
and in the same direction, it remains for us to consider what is the cause of
the permanent variations in the rate of profit, and the consequent permanent
alterations in the rate of interest.
We have seen that the price (17*) of corn
is regulated by the quantity of labour necessary to produce it, with that
portion of capital which pays no rent. We have seen, too, that all manufactured
commodities rise and fall in price, in proportion as more or less labour becomes
necessary to their production. Neither the farmer who cultivates that quantity
of land, which regulates price, nor the manufacturer, who manufactures goods,
sacrifice any portion of the produce for rent. The whole value of their
commodities is divided into two portions only: one constitutes the profits of
stock, the other the wages of labour.
Supposing corn and manufactured goods
always to sell at the same price, profits would be high or low in proportion as
wages were low or high. But suppose corn to rise in price because more labour is
necessary to produce it; that cause will not raise the price of manufactured
goods in the production of which no additional quantity of labour is required.
If, then, wages continued the same, the profits of manufacturers would remain
the same; but if, as is absolutely certain, wages should rise with the rise of
corn, then their profits would necessarily fall.
If a manufacturer always sold
his goods for the same money, for £1,000, for example, his profits would depend
on the price of the labour necessary to manufacture those goods. His profits
would be less when wages amounted to £800 than when he paid only £600. In
proportion then as wages rose, would profits fall. But if the price of raw
produce would increase, it may be asked, whether the farmer at least would not
have the same rate of profits, although he should pay an additional sum for
wages? Certainly not: for he will not only have to pay, in common with the
manufacturer, an increase of wages to each labourer he employs, but he will be
obliged either to pay rent, or to employ an additional number of labourers to
obtain the same produce; and the rise in the price of raw produce will be
proportioned only to that rent, or that additional number, and will not
compensate him for the rise of wages.
If both the manufacturer and farmer
employed ten men, on wages rising from £24 to £25 per annum per man, the whole
sum paid by each would be £250 instead of £240. This is, however, the whole
addition that would be paid by the manufacturer to obtain the same quantity of
commodities; but the farmer on new land would probably be obliged to employ an
additional man, and therefore to pay an additional sum of £25 for wages; and
the farmer on the old land would be obliged to pay precisely the same additional
sum of £25 for rent; without which additional labour, corn would not have
risen, nor rent have been increased. One will therefore have to pay £275 for
wages alone, the other, for wages and rent together; each £25 more than the
manufacturer: for this latter £25 the farmer is compensated by the addition to
the price of raw produce, and therefore his profits still conform to the profits
of the manufacturer. As this proposition is important, I will endeavour still
further to elucidate it.
We have shewn that in early stages of society, both the
landlord's and the labourer's share of the value of the produce of the earth,
would be but small; and that it would increase in proportion to the progress of
wealth, and the difficulty of procuring food. We have shewn, too, that although
the value of the labourer's portion will be increased by the high value of food,
his real share will be diminished; whilst that of the landlord will not only be
raised in value, but will also be increased in quantity.
The remaining quantity
of the produce of the land, after the landlord and labourer are paid,
necessarily belongs to the farmer, and constitutes the profits of his stock. But
it may be alleged, that though as society advances, his proportion of the whole
produce will be diminished, yet as it will rise in value, he, as well as the
landlord and labourer, may, notwithstanding, receive a greater value.
It may be
said for example, that when corn rose from £4 to £10, the 180 quarters
obtained from the best land would sell for £1,800 instead of £720; and,
therefore, though the landlord and labourer be proved to have a greater value
for rent and wages, still the value of the farmer's profit might also be
augmented. This, however, is impossible, as I shall now endeavour to shew.
In
the first place, the price of corn would rise only in proportion to the
increased difficulty of growing it on land of a worse quality.
It has been
already remarked, that if the labour of ten men will, on land of a certain
quality, obtain 180 quarters of wheat, and its value be £4 per quarter, or £720;
and if the labour of ten additional men, will on the same or any other land
produce only 170 quarters in addition, wheat would rise from £4 to £4 4s. 8d.;
for 170:180::£4:£4 4s. 8d. In other words, as for the production of 170
quarters, the labour of ten men is necessary, in the one case, and only that of
9.44 in the other, the rise would be as 9.44 to 10, or, as £4 to £4 4s. 8d. In
the same manner it might be shewn, that if the labour of ten additional men
would only produce 160 quarters, the price would further rise to £4 10s.; if
150, to £4 16s. &c. &c.
But when 180 quarters were produced on the land
paying no rent, and its price was £4 per quarter, it is sold for............ £720
And when 170 quarters were produced on the land paying no rent, and the price
rose to £4 4s. 8d. it still sold for............ 720
So 160 quarters at £4
10s. produce...... 720
And 150 quarters at £4 16s. produce the same sum of. 720
Now it is evident, that if out of these equal values, the farmer is at one time
obliged to pay wages regulated by the price of wheat at £4, and at other times
at higher prices, the rate of his profits will diminish in proportion to the
rise in the price of corn.
In this case, therefore, I think it is clearly
demonstrated that a rise in the price of corn, which increases the money wages
of the labourer, diminishes the money value of the farmer's profits.
But the
case of the farmer of the old and better land will be in no way different; he
also will have increased wages to pay, and will never retain more of the value
of the produce, however high may be its price, than £720 to be divided between
himself and his always equal number of labourers; in proportion therefore as
they get more, he must retain less.
When the price of corn was at £4 the whole
180 quarters belonged to the cultivator, and he sold it for £720. When corn
rose to £4 4s. 8d. he was obliged to pay the value of ten quarters out of his
180 for rent, consequently the remaining 170 yielded him no more than £720:
when it rose further to £4 10s. he paid twenty quarters, or their value, for
rent, and consequently only retained 160 quarters, which yielded the same sum of
£720. It will be seen, then, that whatever rise may take place in the price of
corn, in consequence of the necessity of employing more labour and capital to
obtain a given additional quantity of produce, such rise will always be equalled
in value by the additional rent, or additional labour employed; so that whether
corn sells for £4, £4 10s. or £5 2s. 10d. the farmer will obtain for that
which remains to him, after paying rent, the same real value. Thus we see, that
whether the produce belonging to the farmer be 180, 170, 160, or 150 quarters,
he always obtains the same sum of £720 for it; the price increasing in an
inverse proportion to the quantity.
Rent then, it appears, always falls on the
consumer, and never on the farmer; for if the produce of his farm should
uniformly be 180 quarters, with the rise of price, he would retain the value of
a less quantity for himself, and give the value of a larger quantity to his
landlord; but the deduction would be such as to leave him always the same sum of
£720.
It will be seen too, that, in all cases, the same sum of £720 must be
divided between wages and profits. If the value of the raw produce from the land
exceed this value, it belongs to rent, whatever may be its amount. If there be
no excess, there will be no rent. Whether wages or profits rise or fall, it is
this sum of £720 from which they must both be provided. On the one hand,
profits can never rise so high as to absorb so much of this £720 that enough
will not be left to furnish the labourers with absolute necessaries; on the
other hand, wages can never rise so high as to leave no portion of this sum for
profits.
Thus in every case, agricultural, as well as manufacturing profits are
lowered by a rise in the price of raw produce, if it be accompanied by a rise of
wages.(18*) If the farmer gets no additional value for the corn which remains to
him after paying rent, if the manufacturer gets no additional value for the
goods which he manufactures, and if both are obliged to pay a greater value in
wages, can any point be more clearly established than that profits must fall,
with a rise of wages?
The farmer then, although he pays no part of his
landlord's rent, that being always regulated by the price of produce, and
invariably falling on the consumers, has however a very decided interest in
keeping rent low, or rather in keeping the natural price of produce low. As a
consumer of raw produce, and of those things into which raw produce enters as a
component part, he will, in common with all other consumers, be interested in
keeping the price low. But he is most materially concerned with the high price
of corn as it affects wages. With every rise in the price of corn, he will have
to pay out of an equal and unvarying sum of £720 an additional sum for wages to
the ten men whom he is supposed constantly to employ. We have seen in treating
on wages that they invariably rise with the rise in the price of raw produce. On
a basis assumed for the purpose of calculation, pp. 123-4, it will be seen that
if when wheat is at £4 per quarter, wages should be £24 per annum
When wheat
is at wages would be
£4 4s. 8d.
£24 14s. 0d.
4 10 0
25 10 0
4 16 0
26 8 0
5 2 10
27 8 6
Now, of the unvarying fund of £720 to be distributed between
labourers and farmers,
When the price the labourers will
the farmer will
of
wheat is at
receive
receive
£4 0s. 0d.
£240 0s.
£480 0s. 0d.
4 4 8
247 0
473 0 0
4 10 0
255 0
465 0 0
4 16 0
264 0
456 0 0
5 2 10
274 5
455 15 1
And
supposing that the original capital of the farmer was £3,000, the profits of
his stock being in the first instance £480 would be at the rate of 16 per cent.
When his profits fell to £473 they would be at the rate of 15.7 per cent.
£465......
15.5
£456...... 15.2
£445...... 14.8
But the rate of profits will fall still
more, because the capital of the farmer, it must be recollected, consists in a
great measure of raw produce, such as his corn and hay-ricks, his unthreshed
wheat and barley, his horses and cows, which would all rise in price in
consequence of the rise of produce. His absolute profits would fall from £480
to £445 15s.; but if from the cause which I have just stated, his capital
should rise from £3,000 to £3,200 the rate of his profits would, when corn was
at £5 2s. 10d. be under 14 per cent.
If a manufacturer had also employed £3,000
in his business, he would be obliged in consequence of the rise of wages, to
increase his capital in order to be enabled to carry on the same business. If
his commodities sold before for £720 they would continue to sell at the same
price; but the wages of labour, which were before £240 would rise when corn was
at £5 2s. 10d. to £274 5s. In the first case he would have a balance of £480
as profit on £3,000, in the second he would have a profit only of £445 15s.,
on an increased capital, and therefore his profits would conform to the altered
rate of those of the farmer.
There are few commodities which are not more or
less affected in their price by the rise of raw produce, because some raw
material from the land enters into the composition of most commodities. Cotton
goods, linen, and cloth, will all rise in price with the rise of wheat; but they
rise on account of the greater quantity of labour expended on the raw material
from which they are made, and not because more was paid by the manufacturer to
the labourers whom he employed on those commodities.
In all cases, commodities
rise because more labour is expended on them, and not because the labour which
is expended on them is at a higher value. Articles of jewellery, of iron, of
plate, and of copper, would not rise, because none of the raw produce from the
surface of the earth enters into their composition.
It may be said that I have
taken it for granted, that money wages would rise with a rise in the price of
raw produce, but that this is by no means a necessary consequence, as the
labourer may be contented with fewer enjoyments. It is true that the wages of
labour may previously have been at a high level, and that they may bear some
reduction. If so, the fall of profits will be checked; but it is impossible to
conceive that the money price of wages should fall, or remain stationary with a
gradually increasing price of necessaries; and therefore it may be taken for
granted that, under ordinary circumstances, no permanent rise takes place in the
price of necessaries, without occasioning, or having been preceded by a rise in
wages.
The effects produced on profits would have been the same, or nearly the
same, if there had been any rise in the price of those other necessaries,
besides food, on which the wages of labour are expended. The necessity which the
labourer would be under of paying an increased price for such necessaries, would
oblige him to demand more wages; and whatever increases wages, necessarily
reduces profits. But suppose the price of silks, velvets, furniture, and any
other commodities, not required by the labourer, to rise in consequence of more
labour being expended on them, would not that affect profits? Certainly not: for
nothing can affect profits but a rise in wages; silks and velvets are not
consumed by the labourer, and therefore cannot raise wages.
It is to be
understood that I am speaking of profits generally. I have already remarked,
that the market price of a commodity may exceed its natural or necessary price,
as it may be produced in less abundance than the new demand for it requires.
This, however, is but a temporary effect. The high profits on capital employed
in producing that commodity, will naturally attract capital to that trade; and
as soon as the requisite funds are supplied, and the quantity of the commodity
is duly increased, its price will fall, and the profits of the trade will
conform to the general level. A fall in the general rate of profits is by no
means incompatible with a partial rise of profits in particular employments. It
is through the inequality of profits, that capital is moved from one employment
to another. Whilst then general profits are falling, and gradually setting at a
lower level in consequence of the rise of wages, and the increasing difficulty
of supplying the increasing population with necessaries, the profits of the
farmer may, for an interval of some little duration, be above the former level.
An extraordinary stimulus may be also given for a certain time, to a particular
branch of foreign and colonial trade; but the admission of this fact by no means
invalidates the theory, that profits depend on high or low wages, wages on the
price of necessaries, and the price of necessaries chiefly on the price of food,
because all other requisites may be increased almost without limit.
It should be
recollected that prices always vary in the market, and in the first instance,
through the comparative state of demand and supply. Although cloth could be
furnished at 40s. per yard, and give the usual profits of stock, it may rise to
60 or 80s. from a general change of fashion, or from any other cause which
should suddenly and unexpectedly increase the demand, or diminish the supply of
it. The makers of cloth will for a time have unusual profits, but capital will
naturally flow to that manufacture, till the supply and demand are again at
their fair level, when the price of cloth will again sink to 40s., its natural
or necessary price. In the same manner, with every increased demand for corn, it
may rise so high as to afford more than the general profits to the farmer. If
there be plenty of fertile land, the price of corn will again fall to its former
standard, after the requisite quantity of capital has been employed in producing
it, and profits will be as before; but if there be not plenty of fertile land,
if, to produce this additional quantity, more than the usual quantity of capital
and labour be required, corn will not fall to its former level. Its natural
price will be raised, and the farmer, instead of obtaining permanently larger
profits, will find himself obliged to be satisfied with the diminished rate
which is the inevitable consequence of the rise of wages, produced by the rise
of necessaries.
The natural tendency of profits then is to fall; for in the
progress of society and wealth, the additional quantity of food required is
obtained by the sacrifice of more and more labour. This tendency, this
gravitation as it were of profits, is happily checked at repeated intervals by
the improvements in machinery, connected with the production of necessaries, as
well as by discoveries in the science of agriculture which enable us to
relinquish a portion of labour before required, and therefore to lower the price
of the prime necessary of the labourer. The rise in the price of necessaries and
in the wages of labour is however limited; for as soon as wages should be equal
(as in the case formerly stated) to £720, the whole receipts of the farmer,
there must be an end of accumulation; for no capital can then yield any profit
whatever, and no additional labour can be demanded, and consequently population
will have reached its highest point. Long indeed before this period, the very
low rate of profits will have arrested all accumulation, and almost the whole
produce of the country, after paying the labourers, will be the property of the
owners of land and the receivers of tithes and taxes.
Thus, taking the former
very imperfect basis as the grounds of my calculation, it would appear that when
corn was at £20 per quarter, the whole net income of the country would belong
to the landlords, for then the same quantity of labour that was originally
necessary to produce 180 quarters, would be necessary to produce 36; since £20:£4::180:36.
The farmer then, who produced 180 quarters, (if any such there were, for the old
and new capital employed on the land would be so blended, that it could in no
way be distinguished,) would sell the
180 qrs. at £20 per qr. or... £3600 the
value of 144 qrs. to the landlord for rent being the difference between 36 and
180 qrs. 2880
the value of 36 qrs. to labourers ten in number 720
leaving
nothing whatever for profit.
I have supposes that at this price of £20 the
labourers would continue to consume three quarters each per annum or £60
And
that on the other commodities they would expend... 12 72 for each labourer.
In
all these calculations I have been desirous only to elucidate the principle, and
it is scarcely necessary to observe, that my whole basis is assumed at random,
and merely for the purpose of exemplification. The results though different in
degree, would have been the same in principle, however accurately I might have
set out in stating the difference in the number of labourers necessary to obtain
the successive quantities of corn required by an increasing population, the
quantity consumed by the labourer's family, &c. &c. My object has been
to simplify the subject, and I have therefore made no allowance for the
increasing price of the other necessaries, besides food, of the labourer; an.
increase which would be the consequence of the increased value of the raw
materials from which they are made, and which would of course further increase
wages, and lower profits.
I have already said, that long before this state of
prices was become permanent, there would be no motive for accumulation; for no
one accumulates but with a view to make his accumulation productive, and it is
only when so employed that it operates on profits. Without a motive there could
be no accumulation, and consequently such a state of prices never could take
place. The farmer and manufacturer can no more live without profit, than the
labourer without wages. Their motive for accumulation will diminish with every
diminution of profit, and will cease altogether when their profits are so low as
not to afford them an adequate compensation for their trouble, and the risk
which they must necessarily encounter in employing their capital productively.
I
must again observe, that the rate of profits would fall much more rapidly than I
have estimated in my calculation: for the value of the produce being what I have
stated it under the circumstances supposed, the value of the farmer's stock
would be greatly increased from its necessarily consisting of many of the
commodities which had risen in value. Before corn could rise from £4 to £12
his capital would probably be doubled in exchangeable value, and be worth £6,000
instead of £3,000. If then his profit were £180, or 6 per cent on his original
capital, profits would not at that time be really at a higher rate than 3 per
cent; for £6,000 at 3 per cent gives £180; and on those terms only could a new
farmer with £6,000 money in his pocket enter into the farming business.
Many
trades would derive some advantage, more or less, from the same source. The
brewer, the distiller, the clothier, the linen manufacturer, would be partly
compensated for the diminution of their profits, by the rise in the value of
their stock of raw and finished materials; but a manufacturer of hardware, of
jewellery, and of many other commodities, as well as those whose capitals
uniformly consisted of money, would be subject to the whole fall in the rate of
profits, without any compensation whatever.
We should also expect that, however
the rate of the profits of stock might diminish in consequence of the
accumulation of capital on the land, and the rise of wages, yet that the
aggregate amount of profits would increase. Thus supposing that, with repeated
accumulations of £100,000, the rate of profit should fall from 20 to 19, to 18,
to 17 per cent, a constantly diminishing rate, we should expect that the whole
amount of profits received by those successive owners of capital would be always
progressive; that it would be greater when the capital was £200,000, than when
£100,000; still greater when £300,000; and so on, increasing, though at a
diminishing rate, with every increase of capital. This progression however is
only true for a certain time: thus 19 per cent on £200,000 is more than 20 on
£100,000; again 18 per cent on £300,000 is more than 19 per cent on £200,000;
but after capital has accumulated to a large amount, and profits have fallen,
the further accumulation diminishes the aggregate of profits. Thus suppose the
accumulation should be £1,000,000, and the profits 7 per cent the whole amount
of profits will be £70,000; now if an addition of £100,000 capital be made to
the million, and profits should fall to 6 per cent, £66,000 or a diminution of
£4,000 will be received by the owners of stock, although the whole amount of
stock will be increased from £1,000,000 to £1,100,000.
There can, however, be
no accumulation of capital, so long as stock yields any profit at all, without
its yielding not only an increase of produce, but an increase of value. By
employing £100,000 additional capital, no part of the former capital will be
rendered less productive. The produce of the land and labour of the country must
increase, and its value will be raised, not only by the value of the addition
which is made to the former quantity of productions, but by the new value which
is given to the whole produce of the land, by the increased difficulty of
producing the last portion of it. When the accumulation of capital, however,
becomes very great, notwithstanding this increased value, it will be so
distributed that a less value than before will be appropriated to profits, while
that which is devoted to rent and wages will be increased. Thus with successive
additions of £100,000 to capital, with a fall in the rate of profits, from 20
to 19, to 18, to 17 per cent &c. the productions annually obtained will
increase in quantity, and be of more than the whole additional value, which the
additional capital is calculated to produce. From £20,000 it will rise to more
than £39,000 and then to more than £57,000 and when the capital employed is a
million, as we before supposed, if £100,000 more be added to it, and the
aggregate of profits is actually lower than before, more than £6,000 will
nevertheless be added to the revenue of the country, but it will be to the
revenue of the landlords and labourers; they will obtain more than the
additional produce, and will from their situation be enabled to encroach even on
the former gains of the capitalist. Thus, suppose the price of corn to be £4
per quarter, and that therefore, as we before calculated, of every £720
remaining to the farmer after payment of his rent, £480 were retained by him,
and £240 were paid to his labourers; when the price rose to £6 per quarter, he
would be obliged to pay his labourers £300 and retain only £420 for profits:
he would be obliged to pay them £300 to enable them to consume the same
quantity of necessaries as before, and no more. Now if the capital employed were
so large as to yield a hundred thousand times £720 or £72,000,000 the
aggregate of profits would be £48,000,000 when wheat was at £4 per quarter;
and if by employing a larger capital, £105,000 times £720 were obtained when
wheat was at £6, or £75,600,000, profits would actually fall from £48,000,000
to £44,100,000 or 105,000 times £420, and wages would rise from £24,000,000
to £31,500,000. Wages would rise because more labourers would be employed, in
proportion to capital; and each labourer would receive more money wages; but the
condition of the labourer, as we have already shewn, would be worse, inasmuch as
he would be able to command a less quantity of the produce of the country. The
only real gainers would be the landlords; they would receive higher rents,
first, because produce would be of a higher value, and secondly, because they
would have a greatly increased proportion of that produce.
Although a greater
value is produced, a greater proportion of wheat remains of that value, after
paying rent, is consumed by the producers, and it is this, and this alone, which
regulates profits. Whilst the land yields abundantly, wages may temporarily
rise, and the producers may consume more than their accustomed proportion; but
the stimulus which will thus be given to population, will speedily reduce the
labourers to their usual consumption. But when poor lands are taken into
cultivation, or when more capital and labour are expended on the old land, with
a less return of produce, the effect must be permanent. A greater proportion of
that part of the produce which remains to be divided, after paying rent, between
the owners of stock and the labourers, will be apportioned to the latter. Each
man may, and probably will, have a less absolute quantity. but as more labourers
are employed in proportion to the whole produce retained by the farmer, the
value of a greater proportion of the whole produce will be absorbed by wages,
and consequently the value of a smaller proportion will be devoted to profits.
This will necessarily be rendered permanent by the laws of nature, which have
limited the productive powers of the land.
Thus we again arrive at the same
conclusion which we have before attempted to establish: - that in all countries,
and all times, profits depend on the quantity of labour requisite to provide
necessaries for the labourers, on that land or with that capital which yields no
rent. The effects then of accumulation will be different in different countries,
and will depend chiefly on the fertility of the land. However extensive a
country may be where the land is of a poor quality, and where the importation of
food is prohibited, the most moderate accumulations of capital will be attended
with great reductions in the rate of profit, and a rapid rise in rent; and on
the contrary a small but fertile country, particularly if it freely permits the
importation of food, may accumulate a large stock of capital without any great
diminution in the rate of profits, or any great increase in the rent of land. In
the Chapter on Wages, we have endeavoured to shew that the money price of
commodities would not be raised by a rise of wages, either on the supposition
that gold, the standard of money, was the produce of this country, or that it
was imported from abroad. But if it were otherwise, if the prices of commodities
were permanently raised by high wages, the proposition would not be less true,
which asserts that high wages invariably affect the employers of labour, by
depriving them of a portion of their real profits. Supposing the hatter, the
hosier, and the shoemaker, each paid £10 more wages in the manufacture of a
particular quantity of their commodities, and that the price of hats, stockings,
and shoes, rose by a sum sufficient to repay the manufacturer the £10; their
situation would be no better than if no such rise took place. If the hosier sold
his stockings for £110 instead of £100, his profits would be precisely the
same money amount as before; but as he would obtain in exchange for this equal
sum, one tenth less of hats, shoes, and every other commodity, and as he could
with his former amount of savings employ fewer labourers at the increased wages,
and purchase fewer raw materials at the increased prices, he would be in no
better situation than if his money profits had been really diminished in amount,
and every thing had remained at its former price. Thus then I have endeavoured
to shew, first, that a rise of wages would not raise the price of commodities,
but would invariably lower profits; and secondly, that if the prices of all
commodities could be raised, still the effect on profits would be the same; and
that in fact the value of the medium only in which prices and profits are
estimated would be lowered.
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